Pulses Production in North-East India: Trend and Decomposition Analysis

Abstract

The North-Eastern Region (NER) of India offers ideal soil and agro-climatic conditions for growing pulses, however the region falls short of its needs for pulses by over 82%. The average pulses productivity in NER, however, is greater than the national average (764 kg/ha), demonstrating the potential for pulses production in this area (848 kg/ha). The study attempts to look at the state-by-state growth scenario, production variability, and break down the impact of production in the North East Region. The relative contribution of area, yield, and their interplay to the production of all pulses was calculated using a decomposition analysis model. The study analysis spanned across four periods viz., Phase I (1978-79 to 1991-92); Phase II (1992-93 to 2005-06) and Phase III (2006-07 to 2019-20) and Pool (1978-79 to 2019-2020). The study revealed that there was positive significant growth in area (5.02%), production (7.56%) and yield (2.42%) of pulses during Phase I of the study period. For the Phase II, the growth was positive and significant only in yield of pulses (1.62%). The result of analysis of overall data (1966-67 to 2019-20) revealed that Arunachal Pradesh, Meghalaya and Nagaland showed a positive significant growth in area under pulses in, while in production and yield of pulses, it was observed in Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland and Tripura. The study revealed that during the whole study period there was significant positive growth in area (1.53%), production (3.47%) and yield (1.91%) of pulses in NE India indicating that time trend had significant influence on change in area, production and yield of pulses.